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It was 60 days ago when the Villa attacker stood on the Sunderland turf, seeming perplexed while his coach admonished him for failing to anticipate a through-ball. During that period, as Villa failed to win in six, doubts remained whether Rogers' form were a symptom or the source of Villa's wider issues.

“As Rogers swept in his second… Emery ripped off his thick padded coat, spread his arms and roared.”

This weekend, though, the manager's outburst was entirely far more favourable. As the England international drilled in his second strike to reinstate Villa's lead, the Spanish tactician tore off his coat, opened his arms and bellowed. The Birmingham club continued to ten wins in a row and after failing to win their initial half-dozen matches, find themselves just three points behind table-toppers Arsenal.

Is Aston Villa Serious Hopefuls?

That’s a particularly tough question to resolve. History, the traditional standing of the club, indicates otherwise. Additionally, their performances haven't been wholly dominant this season, while the wins have accumulated.

According to the data, in only two games has the team posted an expected goals figure notably superior than the opposition. For a team who have just won ten consecutive victories, the Villans appear curiously susceptible – however at the moment the fine lines are swinging for them.

The Reliant Strategy

The current approach appears to be to engage in a shootout with an opponent and then rely on their star man to save the day with two precise efforts. This was the case at Leeds, it transpired in London, and again versus United.

The initial strike came from a brilliant finish, arced right inside the upright from the edge of the area. The follow-up goal was essentially a somewhat messier replica of goal number one as he seized on a pass from Watkins.

“Much like Robben with his left, Rogers’ right foot has become a known threat that remains brutally unstoppable, regardless of anticipation.”

Is It Sustainable?

Reason suggests otherwise. During the latest victory, the opponents registered a greater number of attempts and more direct attempts. They have secured their last eight victories by just one goal. They have allowed goals in all but one of those games.

A statistical correction may well be the biggest rival Villa must confront over the coming weeks. Their key man, in all likelihood, will not continue to blasting the ball past despairing goalkeepers week in, week out.

Reasons for Optimism

Perhaps there is another reality in which, rather than outcomes regressing to match displays, performances begin to trend towards results. Important figures may yet rediscover their best form.

• The main striker could start adding to his goal tally.
• The attacking talent could transform into the performer he was during his peak.
• The defensive duo are set to come back from the treatment room, strengthening a sometimes shaky defensive unit.

Perhaps there is in that the possibility of a title challenge, but they surely can continue to depend solely on Morgan Rogers.

Savoring the Moment

Yet, this is a surprise. Few believed Aston Villa would be third at Christmas. And without a doubt earlier this season, no one envisioned the midfielder now would be leading a hunt for the title while establishing himself as an essential England player.

This remarkable period should be enjoyed precisely because it feels so unlikely. When Rogers faced the North End after the match leading the celebrations, he seemed to be thoroughly enjoying it. A feeling he has rightly earned. Such periods are uncommon in the sport and ought to be celebrated.